Bank downgrades: Why your mortgage rate is set to rise
Filed under: Mortgages
Stefan Rousseau/PA Wire/Press Association Images
So why have the banks been humiliated like this, and how will it feed into your monthly mortgage payments?
Mortgage Advice & Info
Property
Downgrade
Seventeen major global banks saw their credit ratings decimated by the credit ratings agency, Moody's last night, following a review of the sector. These included some of the UK's biggest high street brands, including the Lloyds Banking Group (including Halifax), Barclays, Royal Bank of Scotland and HSBC.Barclays was one of the banks that was clobbered the most, seeing its credit downgraded two notches. After the review, the agency divided the global banks into three tiers. HSBC is in the top tier - which means the ratings agency thinks it has a stable business which is not too exposed to Europe, and can offset losses.
Mortgage Advice & Info
Property
Royal Bank of Scotland is in the bottom tier, which Moody's said meant it had "problems in risk management or have a history of high volatility." It recognised that some banks in this tier had changed their strategy to contain risk, but added: "These transformations are ongoing and their success has yet to be tested."
HSBC and Barclays were both put on a negative watch - which means they will be reviewed again in 12 months.
Why?
The ratings agency was reflecting the impact of the ongoing eurozone crisis, and the resulting increased risks for all 17 banks which operate in the global capital markets. The crisis in the Spanish banking sector is rippling around the world, piling pressure on already troubled banks.Moody's Global Banking Managing Director Greg Bauer said in the announcement. "All of the banks affected by today's actions have significant exposure to the volatility and risk of outsized losses..." The downgrade was worldwide, and included a number of US banks.
The impact
The result of the downgrade means that the banks in question will generally be seen as riskier to lend to. In order to attract lending in the money market, therefore, they need to offer better rates to corporate lenders, which means pushing up the mortgage rates for their borrowers. In addition, they have to hold more cash in reserve in order to be seen as less risky, which means they want to lend less - which again pushes up lending rates.Richard Lloyd, Which? executive director, said:"This announcement will lead to speculation that it will cause a further rise in mortgage rates. For too long banks have taken advantage of the lack of competition on the high-street to increase the interest rates charged on mortgages, loans and overdrafts, with over 1 million consumers seeing their yearly mortgage payments increase by over £300 million with the Standard Variable Rate rises earlier this year. This is why we cautiously welcomed the Chancellor's recent 'funding for lending' scheme. But we want to see strong safeguards in place to ensure that banks pass on this cheap credit to consumers."
Savers
Lloyd added that the downgrade also serves as a reminder for savers, explaining: "The exact impact this credit rating downgrade will have on consumers is uncertain but there are steps people can take to protect their money. People should spread their money across different banks and make sure their cash is in an account covered by the UK compensation scheme, which guarantees savings up to £85,000 per person, per financial institution."Factors damaging property value
- Repossessions<p> Pre-recession, homeowners would give little thought to the idea that local repossessions could affect the value of their home. 101 repossessions were recorded every day during the third quarter of 2011 and it has become a real concern.</p>

- Crime<p> A new crime map introduced in March 2011 was welcomed by buyers, but approached with trepidation by homeowners concerned about the impact on local property values. The map allows users to view crime statistics online by postcode to find out the crime rates and types of crime in any area.</p>

- Local closures<p> It is widely recognized that schools with a good reputation increase competition and property demand within a local area, which in turn increases the values of property within the catchment area. Lose the school and the demand will cease too.</p>

- Flood risk<p> The devastation caused by flooding in recent years doesn't appear to paint a positive picture for homeowners faced with the financial and emotion cost of a huge clean up, insurance complications and the potential damaging effect on property values.</p>

- Transport<p> The proposed high speed rail link is depressing house prices for thousands of homeowners on the route and many homeowners feel helpless to stop tumbling property values.</p>










